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1. Scope

This page explains the player-facing rules that apply to PREDICT as a product policy surface. It should be read together with the Predict Guide.

2. Market rules take precedence

Each prediction market may publish its own Market Rules. Those rules take precedence over general explanatory text when they define:
  • The event interpretation
  • Participation conditions
  • Lock timing
  • Settlement behavior
  • Outcome-specific exceptions
If a market page and a general Predict explanation differ, the market’s published rule set is the authoritative source for that market.

3. Participation

Players participate in Predict by:
  1. Selecting a market
  2. Choosing an outcome option
  3. Depositing Points into that option
The current public docs state a minimum deposit of 0.01 Points.

4. Withdraw behavior

The current Predict guide explains the following player-facing behavior:
  • Withdraw is available while the market is ACTIVE
  • Withdraw becomes unavailable 10 minutes before the event starts
  • At that point the market moves to WITHDRAW LOCKED
  • Market Rules may override the general explanation
Players should treat the market’s own rules as authoritative where a market-specific timing rule is displayed.

5. 70/30 withdraw framing

The current guide states that when a player withdraws:
  • 70% is returned immediately
  • 30% remains locked in the pool and is not guaranteed to be returned
This page does not expand that behavior beyond the current player-facing explanation. If the product updates that rule, the latest published market-facing documentation becomes authoritative.

6. Market lifecycle

The current player-facing status flow is documented as:
This status model is provided to help players understand the visible lifecycle of a market. The policy intent is to clarify participation and settlement timing, not to document internal implementation.

7. Settlement

The current player guide states that:
  • Settlement is processed automatically after the outcome is confirmed
  • No manual claim is required
  • Winning participants receive a share of Points from the losing pool in proportion to deposit weight
If a specific market publishes a more precise rule or exception, that market rule controls.